Let’s watch the grass grow

I recently sent out an email update to my investment clients to highlight on the recent market volatility (led by the intersection of the U.S tapering and the ill data from the developing markets/banks). Some of my clients, who are highly aware of what’s happening, sees & seized the opportunity to increase their holdings. Some others are a little concerned on the ups & downs of it all.

But at the end of the day, I believe we will all go back to basics. 

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This quote (grass and all) reminded me of an analogy that I read from before: Investing is like farming. If you sow a seed, you have got to give it time before the seed grows and bloom.
And this is it about investment. It takes time. It takes patience.

If you have invested in the STI at the peak in 1990 and have done absolutely nothing about it, your investment would still be up by almost 100% today.

On the same analogy, if you would like to harvest a crop in the fall, then we cannot sow the seeds in late summer and expect a good harvest.
And this is it for retirement. It is impossible to invest for retirement at 59 when you expect to retire at 60. Investing early for retirement -sowing the seeds early- means that you allow your seed the time to grow bigger and stronger- such that it can weather through storms and the market volatility even through your olden years.

I have shared examples of the impact of starting early. So, why not another one, just as a gentle reminder.

Let’s assume that two friends start their jobs at age 22
-Investing Early: Jane begins saving immediately. She saves $6,000 per year for 10 years, until when she is 32. She received an average of 8% annual return on her investment. By age 60, Jane has ~$809k. She invested a total of $60,000 into the portfolio.

-Investing Later: Julia, on the other hand, only started saving at the age of 32. She saves $6,000 per year for 28 years, until when she is 60. She also receives an average of 8% annual return on her investments. Julia invested $168,000 into her portfolio, but the value at age 60 was less than $620k.

Now, if we were to take into account inflation and time value of money, the result is still the same. by starting later, you consistently need to save a higher % of your income at every single point of your life.

So during volatile times like this, it’s back to the same old advice – hold tight, and watch the trodden grass regrow.

a piece for myself

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Recently,I had an intense discussion with a friend (someone whom I respect alot) on my personal dreams and goals and I got a little upset because he was concerned that I would rely too much on forecasting the market and be caught off guard by what could actually happen, which by the way, would be entirely beyond prediction.

As always, all things happen for a reason and I bounced across this article by Carl Richards on how Investment Plans and Forecasts Don’t Mix and it mentioned, well, that forecasts about the future of the market are very likely to be wrong.

This drew me back to that intense conversation and got me to realise the reason for my being upset- it was not about the forecasting, it was not that I could not justify my personal/market views or enroll him in my ideas. It is about the idea of planning. It is about my life plan, the road map that I have set out for myself and which I want to follow.
And the conversation was frustrating because I felt that he doubted the idea of ‘planning’ (can you imagine how it goes against my belief on the importance for financial planning? I am a bloody financial planner!).

Anyway, now that my head’s clearer, I know I stand by what I believe – just because forecasting may not work does not mean that we leave everything to fate. Just because life is full of unexpected surprises does not mean that we do not even make guesses to put the odds in our favor. Because having a plan means that I will know where to bounce back to, if/when I make a few bad choices.

Same goes for life & investment. always back to basics:

    • Figure out where you are today
    • Make a guess about where you want to go
    • Buy diversified, low-cost investments that have the best shot of getting there 
    • Behave for a long time

that’s all folks. just a piece for myself and to continuously put the odds in my favor.

anyway, I really appreciate this friend of mine. It’s been long since I had a conversation like that and I get that it happened because he cared. All in all, a good reminder to the new year, that I gotta be on my toes and to always make the better choices for myself.

CASH DIET

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For those who are in credit card debts, this could be a pretty good new year resolution: go on a cash diet.

one of the most common reasons people use credit cards is because of the rebates/discount. BUT, the usage of credit card is one common factor attributing to emotional spending – because you simply do not feel the pain of paying. It also explains how people are ‘able’ to pay for it. not.

And to put things into perspective, if you owe $5k on your credit card, do not charge anything further to it but only repay the bare minimum every month, the total interest you would have paid at the end of the final repayment is $2,957.

Have a debt? Go on a cash diet and clear the OS fast.

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News that caught my eyes: resale & rental prices of non-landed private homes

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Our clients and friends who have attended our Asset Allocation Seminar would remember our advocacy for equities (between bond, equities, precious metals, real estate & cash) as the preferred asset class since almost 2years back..
Despite having a long term preference over certain asset class, it is important to understand that patience and Continue reading News that caught my eyes: resale & rental prices of non-landed private homes